Danish Superliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
4 - 0
SonderjyskE

Mortensen (35', 49'), Bech (45+5'), Emil Madsen (56')
Brandhof (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Edvin Bjorklund (45+1'), Oggesen (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Sonderjyske, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aarhus

All competitions
Last Game: Copenhagen 3-2 Aarhus
Sunday, July 28 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

SonderjyskE

All competitions
Danish Superliga
Last Game: SonderjyskE 1-1 Lyngby Boldklub
Friday, July 26 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for SonderjyskE had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest SonderjyskE win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
AarhusDrawSonderjyskE
38.61%25.14% (0.019000000000002 0.02)36.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.21% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)46.35% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)68.63% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.72% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)57.85% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
SonderjyskE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)25% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)59.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 38.61%
    SonderjyskE 36.25%
    Draw 25.13%
AarhusDrawSonderjyskE
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.61%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.25%

How you voted: Aarhus vs SonderjyskE

Aarhus
86.2%
Draw
10.3%
SonderjyskE
3.4%
29
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
Aarhus
1-1
SonderjyskE
Tingager (87')
Brandhof (45+2'), Munksgaard (69'), Anderson (90+5')
Tchamba (15')
Christiansen (2'), Soulas (63'), Dal Hende (90+4')
Apr 18, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 4
SonderjyskE
2-1
Aarhus
Gallegos (43'), Thomsen (90+5')
Albaek (58'), Jensen (67'), Berggreen (90+8')
Berggreen (90+8')
Tingager (45')
Mortensen (26'), Kahl (66'), Munksgaard (90+3'), Anderson (90+8')
Feb 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
SonderjyskE
2-3
Aarhus
Christiansen (2'), Gartenmann (14')
Kornvig (9'), Dal Hende (76'), Holm (78')
Mortensen (34', 90+3'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (59')
Lund (16')
Sep 27, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 6
Aarhus
1-0
SonderjyskE
Dagur Thorsteinsson (35')
Poulsen (30'), Anderson (49'), Gronbaek (56'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (72'), Aurel Bisseck (84')

Dal Hende (9'), Reese (54'), Kristinsson (90+7')
Feb 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Aarhus
2-0
SonderjyskE
Mortensen (74' pen.), Olsen (80')

Gartenmann (47'), Vinderslev (47')
Gartenmann (74')
rhs 2.0


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