Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 11, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Presidente Eurico Gaspar Dutra

Operario Ltda
0 - 1
Novorizontino


Lusa (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Waguininho (43')
Formiga (6'), Ferreira Donato (54'), (73'), Jean (80')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Operario Ltda and Novorizontino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Operario Ltda

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Last Game: Operario Ltda 0-0 Sport (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 26 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
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Novorizontino

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Last Game: Rio Branco ES 1-3 Novorizontino
Thursday, February 27 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Novorizontino win with a probability of 62.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Operario Ltda had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Novorizontino win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.9%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Operario Ltda win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Novorizontino in this match.

Result
Operario LtdaDrawNovorizontino
14.93% (-4.927 -4.93)22.84% (-1.914 -1.91)62.23% (6.848 6.85)
Both teams to score 42.73% (-3.595 -3.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (0.116 0.12)54.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (0.096999999999998 0.1)76.01% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Operario Ltda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.58% (-6.135 -6.14)48.42% (6.141 6.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.46% (-4.853 -4.85)83.54% (4.86 4.86)
Novorizontino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (2.58 2.58)17.15% (-2.574 -2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61% (4.362 4.36)47.39% (-4.355 -4.36)
Score Analysis
    Operario Ltda 14.93%
    Novorizontino 62.22%
    Draw 22.83%
Operario LtdaDrawNovorizontino
1-0 @ 6.02% (-1.157 -1.16)
2-1 @ 3.85% (-1.165 -1.17)
2-0 @ 2.18% (-0.906 -0.91)
3-1 @ 0.93% (-0.508 -0.51)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 14.93%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-1.04 -1.04)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.677 -0.68)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 14.64% (1.11 1.11)
0-2 @ 12.9% (1.92 1.92)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
0-3 @ 7.59% (1.641 1.64)
1-3 @ 5.5% (0.384 0.38)
0-4 @ 3.34% (0.932 0.93)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.348 0.35)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.396 0.4)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 62.22%

rhs 2.0


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