Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Tianjin Tianhai win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shandong Luneng Taishan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Tianhai | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 33.03% | 24.31% | 42.65% |
| Both teams to score 59.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.85% | 43.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% | 65.55% |
| Tianjin Tianhai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% | 25.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% | 60.13% |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% | 20.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Tianhai | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% 1-0 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.03% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 4.76% 0-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.88% Total : 42.65% |


