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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 30.08% | 26.96% | 42.96% |
| Both teams to score 49.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.57% | 55.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.38% | 76.62% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% | 33.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.92% | 70.08% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% | 25.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% | 60.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.96% |