Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 3, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki

Olympiacos
1 - 1
Ludogorets

(3-3 on aggregate)

Camara (87')
Semedo (43'), Abou Cisse (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Despodov (50')
Tekpetey (57'), Nedyalkov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Olympiacos and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
61.67%	21.06%	17.27%

Both teams to score 53.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.55%

43.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.15%

65.85%

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43%

13.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.33%

40.66%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.41%

38.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66%

75.33%

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 61.66%

Ludogorets Razgrad 17.27%

Draw 21.06%

Olympiacos	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 6.62% 4-0 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.02% Total : 61.66%	1-1 @ 9.96% 0-0 @ 5.23% 2-2 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.06%	0-1 @ 4.98% 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.27%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Ludogorets

Olympiacos

81.3%

Draw

10.4%

Ludogorets Razgrad

8.3%