Champions League header

Champions League

Lazio logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Dortmund logo

Lazio
3 - 1
Dortmund

Immobile (6'), Hitz (23' og.), Akpa-Akpro (76')
Alberto (42'), Strakosha (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Braut Haaland (71')
Reyna (62'), Delaney (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League match between Lazio and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.88%) and 2-3 (5.02%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawBorussia Dortmund
31.63%20.85%47.51%
Both teams to score 71.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.37%26.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.98%47.02%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83%18.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85%49.15%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88%12.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.31%37.7%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 31.64%
    Borussia Dortmund 47.51%
    Draw 20.85%
LazioDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.76%
3-2 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.84%
1-0 @ 3.76%
2-0 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 7.13%
3-3 @ 2.85%
0-0 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.85%
1-2 @ 8.36%
1-3 @ 5.88%
2-3 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 4.9%
0-1 @ 4.65%
0-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 3.1%
2-4 @ 2.65%
0-4 @ 1.82%
3-4 @ 1.51%
1-5 @ 1.31%
2-5 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 47.51%

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