World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Saida International Stadium

Lebanon
4 - 0
Bangladesh

Maatouk (5' pen., 49', 60'), Matar (45+2')
Bugiel (25'), Ayoub (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hossain (3')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Lebanon and Bangladesh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Palestine 0-0 Lebanon
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Bangladesh

Last Game: Bangladesh 0-2 Australia
Thursday, June 6 at 11.45am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.

Result
Lebanon	Draw	Bangladesh
55.64% ( 0)	23.95% ( 0)	20.41% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.91% (

-0.01)

51.08% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.06% (

-0.01)

72.94% (

0.01)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

-0)

18.22% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.76% (

-0.01)

49.24% (

0.01)

Bangladesh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.45% (

-0.01)

39.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.76% (

-0.01)

76.23% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lebanon 55.62%

Bangladesh 20.41%

Draw 23.95%

Lebanon	Draw	Bangladesh
1-0 @ 12.26% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 55.62%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.41%