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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 75.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 10.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 75.52% | 14.47% | 10.01% |
| Both teams to score 56.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.94% | 29.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.95% | 50.05% |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.58% | 6.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.97% | 24.03% |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% | 39.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.61% | 76.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 7% 4-0 @ 6.05% 4-1 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 3.75% 5-0 @ 3.32% 5-1 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 2.58% 6-0 @ 1.52% 5-2 @ 1.42% 6-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 4.41% Total : 75.52% | 1-1 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 4.1% 0-0 @ 2.55% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.2% Total : 14.47% | 1-2 @ 2.98% 0-1 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-2 @ 1.09% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.01% |
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