Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
