Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Apr 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Druids0 - 7Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Druids and Newtown AFC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Druids had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Druids win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Druids | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 23.72% | 22.8% | 53.48% |
| Both teams to score 57.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.55% | 42.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.15% | 64.85% |
| Druids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% | 31.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.02% | 67.97% |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% | 15.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.94% | 45.06% |
| Score Analysis |
Druids 23.72%
Newtown AFC 53.48%
Draw 22.79%
| Druids | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 6.13% 1-0 @ 5.77% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-1 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-3 @ 5.21% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.77% 0-4 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.48% |


