Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.