Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside Stadium
Connah's Quay1 - 0Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pen-y-Bont.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 48.07% | 24.63% | 27.31% |
| Both teams to score 55.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% | 47.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% | 69.62% |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% | 19.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% | 51.84% |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% | 31.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads 48.06%
Pen-y-Bont 27.31%
Draw 24.62%
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.93% Total : 48.06% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.31% |


