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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Oct 23, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
4 - 0
Danubio

Calzada (15'), Arezo (17', 25'), Olivera (90+1')
Leites (16'), Bonifazi (45')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mercado (51'), Pantaleone (66'), Mendez (81')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Danubio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawDanubio
32.94%28.26%38.8%
Both teams to score 46.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56%59.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19%79.81%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5%33.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87%70.14%
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25%29.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19%65.82%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 32.94%
    Danubio 38.8%
    Draw 28.26%
River PlateDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.97%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 12.08%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.8%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 4
Danubio
1-3
River Plate
Pantaleone (50')
Siles (25'), Nequecaur (58')
Rodriguez (29'), Arezo (69'), Alonso (90+4')
Arezo (52')
Oct 5, 2019 8pm
Danubio
1-1
River Plate
Paiva (7')
Acosta (73'), Paiva (81')
Arezo (45')
Sep 1, 2019 7pm
Danubio
0-1
River Plate

Felipe (9'), Ghan (55'), Amuz (65'), Ancheta (75')
Ghan (62')
Arezo (47')
Vicente (31'), Viera (60'), Fernandez (80')
Mar 10, 2019 7.30pm
River Plate
1-1
Danubio
Olivera (32')
Olivera (36'), Herrera (43'), Urruti (61'), Calzada (74'), Plada (81')
Chacon (58')
Felipe (39'), Ghan (45'), Montes (78')
Aug 12, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 4
River Plate
1-2
Danubio
Jones (69')
Ale (49'), Ospitaleche (94')
Navarro (68', 71')
Rodriguez (18'), Felipe (62')
rhs 2.0
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