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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Oct 10, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
1 - 2
River Plate

Viega (62')
Platero (27')
Silva (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (45+1'), N. Borbas Silva (85')
Rodriguez (25')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
37.36%27.7%34.94%
Both teams to score 48.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85%57.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99%78.01%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52%29.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51%65.48%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02%30.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71%67.28%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 37.35%
    River Plate 34.94%
    Draw 27.7%
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 6.81%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.7%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 6.27%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.94%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2019 7pm
River Plate
1-2
Progreso
Piquerez (34')
Salaberry (23')
Gularte (53'), Rosso (73')
Alles (32'), Marta (62'), Gonzalez (94')
Jul 14, 2019 7pm
River Plate
0-0
Progreso
Ezequiel Rodriguez Alonso (82')
Apr 20, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 10
Progreso
4-0
River Plate
Gonzalez (32', 57', 78'), Riquero (82')
Andrada (10'), Loffreda (43')

Gorga (79')
Sep 16, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Progreso
2-2
River Plate
Labandeira (48', 65')
Freitas (44'), Lemmo (84'), Zeballos (86'), Makuka (93')
Bone (59'), Jones (82')
Olivera (29'), Rodriguez (48'), Ale (75'), Leyes (88')
May 27, 2018 7pm
Progreso
0-0
River Plate
Millacet (40'), Loffreda (41')
Calzada (69')
rhs 2.0
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