Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Liverpool.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Liverpool |
| 26.93% | 26.51% | 46.57% |
| Both teams to score 48.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% | 55.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% | 76.46% |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% | 72.58% |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% | 23.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% | 57.81% |
| Score Analysis |
Progreso 26.93%
Liverpool 46.56%
Draw 26.5%
| Progreso | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 6.44% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.59% 3-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.93% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-3 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.56% |


