Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso0 - 1Fenix
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Fenix.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Fenix |
| 39.09% | 28.67% | 32.24% |
| Both teams to score 45.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39% | 60.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.01% | 80.99% |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% | 30.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% | 66.53% |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% | 34.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.45% | 71.55% |
| Score Analysis |
Progreso 39.08%
Fenix 32.23%
Draw 28.67%
| Progreso | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.08% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 32.23% |


