Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Lviv win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
