Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Desna1 - 1Oleksandriya
Bezborodko (35')
Budkivskyi (85'), Tsymbalyuk (90+1')
Budkivskyi (85'), Tsymbalyuk (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tretyakov (28')
Dryshliuk (13'), Tsurikov (33'), Kaliuzhnyi (42'), Ustymenko (82')
Dryshliuk (13'), Tsurikov (33'), Kaliuzhnyi (42'), Ustymenko (82')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and FC Oleksandriya.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 40.62% | 27.51% | 31.87% |
| Both teams to score 48.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.08% | 56.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.16% | 77.83% |
| Desna Chernihiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% | 27.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% | 62.99% |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% | 32.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% | 69.52% |
| Score Analysis |
Desna Chernihiv 40.62%
FC Oleksandriya 31.86%
Draw 27.5%
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.86% |


