European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 13, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
 

San Marino U21s
0 - 7
Scotland U21s


Cevoli (20')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hornby (20' pen., 50', 51'), Turnbull (39'), Maguire (43'), McLennan (70'), Ashby (75')
Middleton (90+1')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between San Marino Under-21s and Scotland Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland Under-21s win with a probability of 80.9%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for San Marino Under-21s had a probability of 5.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.73%) and 0-3 (13.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a San Marino Under-21s win it was 1-0 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
San Marino Under-21sDrawScotland Under-21s
5.24%13.85%80.9%
Both teams to score 33.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6%45.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26%67.74%
San Marino Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.47%63.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.65%92.35%
Scotland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.03%8.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.41%30.59%
Score Analysis
    San Marino Under-21s 5.24%
    Scotland Under-21s 80.89%
    Draw 13.85%
San Marino Under-21sDrawScotland Under-21s
1-0 @ 2.58%
2-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 5.24%
1-1 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 13.85%
0-2 @ 16.56%
0-1 @ 13.73%
0-3 @ 13.32%
0-4 @ 8.03%
1-2 @ 7.52%
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-5 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 3.64%
1-5 @ 1.76%
0-6 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 80.89%

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