Iceland U21s
1 - 0
Sweden U21s

Aron Gudjohnsen (66')
Thor Ingimundarson (54'), Thor Hauksson (62'), Darri Willumsson (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Iceland Under-21s and Sweden Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland Under-21s win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Sweden Under-21s had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Sweden Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iceland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Iceland Under-21s	Draw	Sweden Under-21s
40.96%	22.58%	36.45%

Both teams to score 66.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.16%

33.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.32%

55.68%

Iceland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76%

17.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45%

47.55%

Sweden Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78%

19.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08%

50.92%

Score Analysis

Iceland Under-21s 40.96%

Sweden Under-21s 36.46%

Draw 22.58%

Iceland Under-21s	Draw	Sweden Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.44% 1-0 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.96%	1-1 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 6.96% 0-0 @ 3.31% 3-3 @ 2.24% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.58%	1-2 @ 7.92% 0-1 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.02% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.46%

Iceland U21s1 - 0Sweden U21s

Data Analysis

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Iceland U21s
1 - 0
Sweden U21s