England national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 13, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
 

England U21s
2 - 1
Turkey U21s

Turkmen (17' og.), Nketiah (88')
Skipp (38'), Bellingham (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dervisoglu (90+2')
Dervisoglu (18'), Kapacak (79')

The Match

Match Report

The Arsenal striker scored his 14th goal in just 12 games.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 53.79%. A win for Turkey Under-21s had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Turkey Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England Under-21s in this match.

Result
England Under-21sDrawTurkey Under-21s
53.79%22.15%24.06%
Both teams to score 60.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91%39.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.58%61.42%
England Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42%14.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.35%42.65%
Turkey Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53%29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53%65.47%
Score Analysis
    England Under-21s 53.79%
    Turkey Under-21s 24.06%
    Draw 22.15%
England Under-21sDrawTurkey Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 6.25%
3-0 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.01%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-1 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 24.06%

rhs 2.0


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