Frosinone
2 - 1
Spezia Calcio

Salvi (14'), Paganini (85')
Salvi (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Galabinov (50' pen.)
Vignali (16'), Aron Gudjohnsen (48'), Capradossi (67')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Frosinone and Spezia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Spezia
41.01%	26.58%	32.4%

Both teams to score 51.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.79%

53.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.23%

74.77%

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.44%

25.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.57%

60.43%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33%

30.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08%

66.92%

Score Analysis

Frosinone 41.01%

Spezia 32.4%

Draw 26.57%

Frosinone	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.01%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.4%

Frosinone2 - 1Spezia Calcio

Data Analysis

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Frosinone
2 - 1
Spezia Calcio