Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli2 - 1Parma
We said: Empoli 0-1 Parma
Parma are conceding far fewer goals under Cristian Chivu, so they should be able to keep their misfiring hosts quiet at the Castellani. Low in confidence - particularly across the final third - Empoli are stuck in an awful rut, and games are running out to end it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Parma |
32.1% ( 0.01) | 27.15% ( 0.01) | 40.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
