Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 3, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
0 - 1
Como

Hainaut (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Espeto (79')
Kempf (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Parma
Monday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Como 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, April 27 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Parma had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Como in this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Como
25.02% ( -0.02)	23.86% ( -0.3)	51.12% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.09% (

1.26)

45.91% (

-1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.78% (

1.19)

68.22% (

-1.19)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.63% (

0.66)

32.37% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.12% (

0.74)

68.88% (

-0.74)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

0.6)

17.98% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

1.02)

48.84% (

-1.03)

Score Analysis

Parma 25.02%

Como 51.12%

Draw 23.86%

Parma	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.02%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.12%