Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2025 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Nico Paz 34' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Espeto 59' goal
  • Ivan Smolcic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal 34'
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 80'

Como vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 2.00pm
Lecce 0 - 3 Como
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Assane Diao

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 5.30pm
Genoa 0 - 2 Lazio
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Andrea Pinamonti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.

Result

Como 54.48% (-0.28)
Draw 25.85% (+0.09)
Genoa 19.66% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.16% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.15% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 58.85% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 20.64% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.35% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 8.71% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 91.29% (+0.04)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 78.28% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 21.72% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 45.12% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 54.88% (+0.22)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 55.13% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 44.87% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 19.17% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 80.83% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Como 54.48%
Draw 25.85%
Genoa 19.66%
Como
1-0 @ 14.88% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 54.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.74% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.65% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 25.85%
Genoa
0-1 @ 7.81% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.78% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.13% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 19.66%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Aaron Caricol 32' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Vogliacco 61' yellowcard
  • Mario Balotelli 79' yellowcard
  • Johan Vasquez 86' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Vogliacco 90'+2' goal
  • goal Lucas Da Cunha 17'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Goldaniga 61'
  • yellowcard Alberto Moreno 73'
  • yellowcard Marc-Oliver Kempf 79'
Serie B Gameweek 32
Apr 10, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Patrick Cutrone 62' goal
  • Leonardo Mancuso 88' goal
  • goal Kevin Strootman 23'
  • goal Massimo Coda 57'
Serie B Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2022 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Massimo Coda 17' goal
  • goal Alberto Cerri 67'