Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 27, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
1 - 0
Genoa

Espeto (59')
Paz (34'), Smolcic (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vasquez (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Como and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Como
Saturday, April 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Lazio
Wednesday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Genoa
54.48% ( -0.27)	25.85% ( 0.08)	19.66% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 43.16% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.15% (

-0.08)

58.85% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64% (

-0.06)

79.35% (

0.05)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

-0.15)

21.72% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.12% (

-0.22)

54.88% (

0.22)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.13% (

0.17)

44.87% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.17% (

0.14)

80.83% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Como 54.48%

Genoa 19.66%

Draw 25.85%

Como	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 14.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.48%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 19.66%