Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 28.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.