Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 44.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.23%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.