Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.71%) and 1-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.