Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
| 38.75% | 25.09% | 36.16% |
| Both teams to score 57.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% | 46.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% | 68.4% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% | 23.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.41% | 57.59% |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% | 59.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.95% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.16% |