Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 34.67% | 24.92% | 40.42% |
| Both teams to score 57.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% | 45.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% | 67.85% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% | 25.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% | 60.36% |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% | 22.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% | 55.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.42% |