Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 35.19% ( | 28.21% ( | 36.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.96% ( | 59.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.5% ( | 79.5% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( | 31.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( | 68.21% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( | 30.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.83% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.6% |