Greenock Morton
Scottish Championship Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park
Montrose

Morton
3 - 1
Montrose

Oliver (5'), Salkeld (19'), McGuffie (120')
McGinn (26'), McLean (33'), Salkeld (120+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McLean (35')
Rennie (23'), McLean (33'), Waddell (90+3'), Johnston (108')

The Match

Match Report

McGuffie curled in a superb effort to seal a 3-1 win over Montrose and keep his side's bid to stay in the second tier alive.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawMontrose
41.72%25.77%32.5%
Both teams to score 54.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17%49.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17%71.82%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32%23.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2%57.79%
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08%28.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2%64.8%
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 41.72%
    Montrose 32.5%
    Draw 25.76%
Greenock MortonDrawMontrose
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.5%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.5%

rhs 2.0


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