Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
