Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

Jul 13, 2020 at 8pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
2 - 2
Southampton

Rashford (20'), Martial (23')
Wan-Bissaka (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Armstrong (12'), Obafemi (90+7')
Ward-Prowse (44'), Stephens (53'), Walker-Peters (56')

Reaction

Nemanja Matic celebrates scoring for Manchester United against Manchester City in the EFL Cup on January 29, 2020.

Nemanja Matic issues Man United rallying call after "frustrating" draw

United will finish in the top four if they win their remaining three league games.

Jul 14, 14:33

Michael Obafemi wheels away in celebration after scoring Southampton's equaliser against Manchester United on July 13, 2020

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer: 'Man Utd will learn from hard lesson against Southampton'

Southampton's last-gasp leveller cost Manchester United two points in the race for the top four.

Jul 14, 07:10

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer admits Man United did not deserve to beat Southampton

Michael Obafemi directed the ball home at the death to earn the visitors a point.

Jul 13, 22:11

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Southampton
64.91%	19.76%	15.32%

Both teams to score 53.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73%

41.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33%

63.66%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.04%

11.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.63%

37.36%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.3%

39.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.62%

76.37%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 64.9%

Southampton 15.32%

Draw 19.76%

Manchester United	Draw	Southampton
2-0 @ 10.7% 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 4.02% 4-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-0 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.67% Total : 64.9%	1-1 @ 9.32% 0-0 @ 4.75% 2-2 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.76%	0-1 @ 4.39% 1-2 @ 4.3% 0-2 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.32%