Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 6

Sep 25, 2021 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 2
West Ham

Raphinha (19')
Raphinha (20'), Meslier (70'), Roberts (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Firpo (67' og.), Antonio (90')
Fornals (28'), Antonio (55')

Reaction

West Ham United's Jarrod Bowen celebrates scoring their first goal against Leeds United in the Premier League on September 25, 2021

David Moyes: West Ham against Leeds a great football game for the neutral

Michail Antonio struck a late winner at Elland Road.

Sep 25, 17:38

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	West Ham United
37.03%	25.49%	37.47%

Both teams to score 56.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09%

47.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91%

70.08%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.72%

25.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.95%

60.04%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96%

25.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29%

59.71%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 37.03%

West Ham United 37.47%

Draw 25.49%

Leeds United	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 0.94% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.73% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.47%