Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.