Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Alejandro Garnacho 16' yellowcard
  • Josh Acheampong 81' yellowcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah  81' yellowcard
  • Roméo Lavia 88' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Cunha 43'
  • yellowcard Amad Diallo 80'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 81'
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 87'

Chelsea vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
Chelsea 0 - 3 Man City
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 8.00pm
Man Utd 1 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 43.18% (+0.04)
Draw 24.42%
Manchester United 32.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.39% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.61% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.61%
Under 2.5 45.39%
Over 3.5 32.75%
Under 3.5 67.25%
Over 4.5 19.67%
Under 4.5 80.33%

First Half Winner

Chelsea 38.78%
Draw 35.78%
Manchester United 25.45%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 56.1% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.65% (-0.02)
Manchester United 37.25%

Corners

Over 8 65.14%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 23.94%
Over 9 53.34%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 34.85%
Over 10.5 41.72%
Under 10.5 58.28%

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 43.7% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.3% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.82% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.18% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.16%
Under 3.5 91.84%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 66.44% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.56% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.67% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.33% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.82%
Under 2.5 86.18%
Over 3.5 4.47%
Under 3.5 95.53%

Score analysis

Chelsea 43.18%
Draw 24.41%
Manchester United 32.4%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 6.29% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 8.04%
Total : 43.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.41%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head

Premier League
Sep 20, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 16, 2025 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Marc Cucurella 71' goal
  • Cole Palmer 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Maguire 16'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 31'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 47'
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 65'
  • yellowcard Amad Diallo 69'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 90'
  • yellowcard Ayden Heaven 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Manuel Ugarte 42' yellowcard
  • Diogo Dalot 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 67' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 70' goal
  • Casemiro 85' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Martinez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 36'
  • goal Moises Caicedo 74'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 4, 2024 8.15pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Conor Gallagher 4' goal
  • Cole Palmer 19' goal
  • Malo Gusto 32' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 35' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 90'+10' goal
  • Cole Palmer 90'+11' goal
  • Moises Caicedo 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 34'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 39'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 67'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 90'+13'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Luke Shaw 14' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 19' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 22' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 69' goal
  • Diogo Dalot 82' yellowcard
  • Sergio Reguilon 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Cole Palmer 45'
Premier League Gameweek 32
May 25, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Casemiro 6' goal
  • Anthony Martial 45'+6' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 73' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 78' goal
  • goal Joao Felix 89'

Build-up

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