Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 51.32% | 24.5% | 24.17% |
| Both teams to score 52.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% | 49.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% | 71.43% |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% | 19.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.05% | 50.94% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% | 34.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% | 71.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.14% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.03% Total : 51.32% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.17% |