Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.32% | 24.5% | 24.17% |
Both teams to score 52.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.61% | 49.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.56% | 71.43% |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.76% | 19.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.05% | 50.94% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.02% | 34.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.28% | 71.72% |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.14% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.03% Total : 51.32% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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