Sunderland U23s

1 - 3

Boro U23s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.