NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
1 - 2
Linfield

Bonis (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (24'), Waterworth (62')
Hery (58')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Dungannon vs. Portadown
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 0-1 Linfield
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Glenavon vs. Linfield
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawLinfield
29.17%24.92%45.91%
Both teams to score 55.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45%47.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24%69.76%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95%30.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83%66.17%
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24%20.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61%53.39%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 29.17%
    Linfield 45.91%
    Draw 24.92%
PortadownDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 7.5%
2-1 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-2 @ 7.71%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 1.91%
0-4 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.91%