Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.
