NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
1 - 0
Crusaders

McGovern (75')
Wallace (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

King (52')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 3-2 Glentoran
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dungannon Swifts in this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCrusaders
41.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)50.99% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)72.86% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.15% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)58.46% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.73% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2%65.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 41.82%
    Crusaders 32.15%
    Draw 26.02%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 41.82%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.15%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 25
Crusaders
1-5
Dungannon
Owens (90')
Barr (12'), Forsythe (51'), Larmour (76'), Williamson (83')
McGovern (5', 48'), Bermingham (8'), Galvin (90', 90+3')
Alves (51')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crusaders
2-2
Dungannon
Forsythe (56' pen.), Offord (60')
Stewart (25'), Clarke (29'), Jewitt-White (80')
Galvin (15'), Curry (24')
Dillon (63'), Alves (71'), Mitchell (87'), McGinty (90+2')
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Dungannon
1-0
Crusaders
McGovern (39')
Wallace (64'), Scott (71'), Glenny (89'), Dunne (90')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Dungannon
2-2
Crusaders
Mitchell (52'), Moore (89')
Hutchinson (10'), Mitchell (30')
Kennedy (28', 90+2')
Larmour (90+5')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dungannon
1-4
Crusaders
Maguire (32')
Owens (42'), Hegarty (58')
Teelan (53'), Robinson (71'), Kennedy (78'), Smith (90+3')
Joe Burns (77')