Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Stangmore Park

Tomas Galvin 34'

Gael Bigirimana 25' (OG)
Sean Graham 62'
Christopher Gallagher 69'
82'
90'

Dungannon Swifts vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions

L
D
W
L
W
W

NIFL Premiership

L
D
W
L
W
W

Last game

Mar 24, 2025 8.00pm

Dungannon 0 - 3 Linfield

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

John McGovern

Larne

All competitions

W
D
D
W
W
W

NIFL Premiership

W
D
D
W
W
W

Last game

Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm

Glenavon 0 - 1 Larne

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Andy Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Dungannon Swifts 29.65% ▲ (+0.08)

Draw 26.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Larne 43.72% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score:

50.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.65% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 54.34%

Over 3.5 24.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 75.73%

Over 4.5 10.9% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 89.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5 66.8% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 0.5 33.2% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 1.5 30.19% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 1.5 69.81% ▼ (-0.07)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 75.31% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 0.5 24.69% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 1.5 40.78% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 1.5 59.22% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Dungannon Swifts 29.65%

Draw 26.63%

Larne 43.71%

Dungannon Swifts

1-0 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.02)

2-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.02)

2-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.48%

Total : 29.65%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.64% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 8.2%

2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.92%

Total : 26.63%

Larne

0-1 @ 11.46% ▼ (-0.02)

1-2 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)

0-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.5%

Total : 43.71%

Head to Head

Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Inver Park

Cian Bolger 59'

Andrew Mitchell 45'+2'
Aaron Donnelly 68'
James Knowles 90'+4'
Danny Wallace 90'+4'

Dec 23, 2024 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Stangmore Park

Leonel Alves 71'
Cahal McGinty 85'

Mark Randall 51'
Andy Ryan 85'
Rohan Ferguson 90'+1'

Oct 6, 2024 2.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 1

FT Inver Park

Sean Graham 72'

James Knowles 16'
John McGovern 54'
James Knowles 71'
Adam Glenny 84'

Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT Stangmore Park

Joseph Moore 62'
Ethan Devine 73'

Christopher Gallagher 27'
Leroy Millar 42'
Steven Scott 45'+1' (OG)

Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm

0

0

HT : 1 0

FT Stangmore Park

Ethan McGee 23'
Ethan McGee 26'
Adam Glenny 55'
Ethan McGee 65'
James Knowles 65'
Andrew Whiteside 76'
Andy Whiteside 76'

Cian Bolger 45'+2'
Craig Farquhar 55'

Aug 7, 2023 7.45pm

4

4

HT : 1 1

FT Inver Park

Tomas Cosgrove 29'
Dylan Sloan 51'
Andy Ryan 77'
Lee Bonis 80'
Shaun Want 90'+1'

Joseph Moore 35'
Ben Gallagher 84'
Tomas Galvin 89'
Andrew Whiteside 90'+5'

Form Data

Dungannon 0 - 3 Linfield

Portadown 1 - 1 Dungannon

Cliftonville 0 - 2 Dungannon

Dungannon 0 - 3 Ballymena

Larne 0 - 1 Dungannon

Dungannon 3 - 1 Carrick

Glenavon 0 - 1 Larne

Glentoran 2 - 2 Larne

Larne 1 - 1 Coleraine

Ballymena 1 - 2 Larne

Loughgall 0 - 1 Larne

Carrick 1 - 2 Larne