NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 32
Mar 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
1 - 1
Dungannon

McCullough (80')
Thompson (20'), Wilson (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mitchell (63')
Bigirimana (90+7')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Carrick
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-2 Dungannon
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
PortadownDrawDungannon Swifts
32.02% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)40.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.96% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.22% (0.064 0.06)57.78% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.49% (0.050999999999998 0.05)78.52% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.040999999999997 0.04)33.28% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11% (0.045000000000002 0.05)69.9% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.11% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.042000000000002 0.04)63.79% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 32.01%
    Dungannon Swifts 40.23%
    Draw 27.75%
PortadownDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.01%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 11.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 40.23%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dungannon
2-0
Portadown
Mitchell (53'), Alves (76')
Mitchell (38'), McAleese (56'), McGinty (60')

McCarey (38'), McCullough (75'), Mackinnon (75'), Mackinnon (81')
Sep 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Portadown
2-1
Dungannon
Obhakhan (49'), Wylie (90+5')
Wilson (42'), Mullan (90+1')
Wallace (13')
Bigirimana (22'), McGovern (28'), McGinty (47')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Dungannon
3-2
Portadown
McGee (19'), Jenkins (62'), O'Connor (78')
McElroy (58'), Dunne (68' og.)
Feb 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Portadown
3-1
Dungannon
McElroy (5', 62', 89' pen.)
McGee (57')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm