NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 33
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park
Larne

Glenavon
0 - 1
Larne


Murphy (56'), Toure (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Connor (75')
Ryan (40'), O'Neill (42'), Gallagher (52')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 2-2 Larne
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawLarne
24.73% (2.335 2.34)26.25% (0.628 0.63)49.02% (-2.959 -2.96)
Both teams to score 47.91% (0.663 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.29% (-0.379 -0.38)55.71% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (-0.312 -0.31)76.86% (0.31399999999999 0.31)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (1.985 1.99)37.96% (-1.983 -1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (1.869 1.87)74.73% (-1.868 -1.87)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-1.446 -1.45)22.77% (1.448 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (-2.188 -2.19)56.47% (2.189 2.19)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 24.73%
    Larne 49.02%
    Draw 26.24%
GlenavonDrawLarne
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.557 0.56)
2-1 @ 6% (0.458 0.46)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.469 0.47)
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.242 0.24)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.213 0.21)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.73%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 12.79% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.708 -0.71)
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.571 -0.57)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.298 -0.3)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.02%

How you voted: Glenavon vs Larne

Glenavon
18.2%
Draw
36.4%
Larne
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Larne
1-1
Glenavon
O'Connor (9')
Ryan (85')
Toure (90+2')
Atherton (47')
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
0-0
Larne
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Larne
6-1
Glenavon
Bonis (12', 15', 23', 78'), Ryan (17', 25')
Graham (31'), Orozco (68')
Graham (42')
O'Sullivan (39')
Byrne (10'), Malone (85')
Campbell (72')
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Larne
4-1
Glenavon
Millar (9'), Bonis (54'), Ryan (56'), O'Neill (90')
Prendergast (87')
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Glenavon
0-4
Larne

Garrett (38')
Bonis (47', 48', 56'), Sloan (65')
rhs 2.0


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