NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • 14' goal
  • Harry Murphy 56' yellowcard
  • David Toure 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 40'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 42'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 52'
  • goal Tiarnan O'Connor 75'

Glenavon vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Linfield 2 - 0 Glenavon
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Peter Campbell

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 18, 2025 7.45pm
Glentoran 2 - 2 Larne
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.

Result

Glenavon 24.73% (+2.34)
Draw 26.25% (+0.63)
Larne 49.02% (-2.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.91% (+0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.29% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 55.71% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 23.14% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 76.86% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 10.2% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 89.8% (+0.20)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 62.04% (+1.99)
Under 0.5 37.96% (-1.99)
Over 1.5 25.27% (+1.87)
Under 1.5 74.73% (-1.87)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 77.23% (-1.45)
Under 0.5 22.77% (+1.45)
Over 1.5 43.53% (-2.19)
Under 1.5 56.47% (+2.19)

Score analysis

Glenavon 24.73%
Draw 26.24%
Larne 49.02%
Glenavon
1-0 @ 8.37% (+0.56)
2-1 @ 6% (+0.46)
2-0 @ 4.06% (+0.47)
3-1 @ 1.94% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 1.43% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 1.31% (+0.22)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 8.64% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.44% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.24%
Larne
0-1 @ 12.79% (-0.38)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.71)
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.58)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.29)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.30)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.19)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.02%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
  • Tiarnan O'Connor 9' goal
  • Andy Ryan 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christopher Atherton 47'
  • goal David Toure 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 5 1
FT Inver Park
  • Lee Bonis 12' goal
  • Lee Bonis 15' goal
  • Andy Ryan 17' goal
  • Lee Bonis 23' goal
  • Andy Ryan 25' goal
  • Sean Graham 31' yellowcard
  • Sean Graham 42' redcard
  • Jaziel Orozco 68' yellowcard
  • Lee Bonis 78' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Byrne 10'
  • goal Len O'Sullivan 39'
  • redcard Peter Campbell 72'
  • yellowcard Jack Malone 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
  • Leroy Millar 9' goal
  • Lee Bonis 54' goal
  • Andy Ryan 56' goal
  • Paul O'Neill 90' goal
  • goal Aaron Prendergast 87'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Robert Garrett 38' redcard
  • goal Lee Bonis 47'
  • goal Lee Bonis 48'
  • goal Lee Bonis 56'
  • goal Dylan Sloan 65'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Inver Park
  • Leroy Millar 14' goal
  • Leroy Millar 41' goal
  • Lee Bonis 74' goal