Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.