NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
3 - 2
Glentoran

McGovern (9'), Alves (41'), Galvin (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jenkins (14', 61')
Lyons-Foster (21')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Dungannon
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-4 Glentoran
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawGlentoran
28.09% (-0.216 -0.22)25.15% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)46.77% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 53.98% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.2 0.2)49.13% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.179 0.18)71.2% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.65% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (-0.067000000000004 -0.07)68.06% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (0.21299999999999 0.21)21.03% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.18% (0.331 0.33)53.82% (-0.328 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 28.09%
    Glentoran 46.76%
    Draw 25.14%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.09%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.21% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.76%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 28
Glentoran
1-0
Dungannon
Amos (90')
Ferris (86'), (90+4')
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Glentoran
2-0
Dungannon
Fisher (52'), McClean (55')

Knowles (45+1')
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dungannon
1-0
Glentoran
McGovern (40')
Scott (20'), Wallace (85'), Mitchell (88'), Dunne (90+1')

Hvid (45')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Dungannon
0-3
Glentoran

Barrowman (78')
McCartan (17' pen.), Ogedi-Uzokwe (30'), McGinn (60')
Burns (90+3')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Dungannon
1-2
Glentoran
Gallagher (45+4' pen.)
Gallagher (62'), Moore (90+5')
Marron (67')
Kane (60'), Ogedi-Uzokwe (84')
Russell (44'), McCarey (72'), McClean (90+5')