NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 0
Coleraine

Boyd (1', 54', 85' pen.)
(25'), (26'), (60'), (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(45+2'), Burns (45'), (85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Coleraine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 0-4 Glentoran
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Coleraine

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawColeraine
31.2% (0.174 0.17)25.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)43.49% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.27% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.42% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.10300000000001 0.1)29.01% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1% (0.128 0.13)64.9% (-0.127 -0.13)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)22.16% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (-0.155 -0.16)55.55% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 31.2%
    Coleraine 43.49%
    Draw 25.3%
CrusadersDrawColeraine
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.49%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 26
Coleraine
0-2
Crusaders

Glackin (83')
Blaney (35'), Jewitt-White (90+3')
Nov 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Coleraine
1-2
Crusaders
Shevlin (76')
McClelland (45+2')
McClelland (79')
Stewart (20'), Offord (29')
O'Rourke (52'), Barr (55'), Stewart (69'), Smith (77')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Crusaders
2-1
Coleraine
Nixon (23'), Stewart (56')
Clarke (19'), Offord (80')
Boyle (35')
Jarvis (19'), Stewart (32'), McClelland (90+1')
May 6, 2024 3pm
Crusaders
3-2
Coleraine
O'Rourke (36'), Larmour (37'), Forsythe (90+2')
Clarke (45+5'), Lowry (49'), Heatley (75'), Nixon (82'), Nixon (82'), Larmour (90+5')
McGonigle (5'), Carson (70')
Scott (82')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Coleraine
0-2
Crusaders

Jarvis (77'), Glackin (83')
Larmour (20'), Forsythe (44' pen.)
Jarvis (46'), Boyd (63'), Forsythe (82')