Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Larne had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.