UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Turkey national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Serbia national football team

Turkey
2 - 2
Serbia

Calhanoglu (57'), Tufan (76')
Yokuslu (29'), Yilmaz (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Milinkovic-Savic (22'), Mitrovic (49' pen.)
Mitrovic (16'), Kolarov (77'), Mitrovic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Turkey and Serbia, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
TurkeyDrawSerbia
44.31%26.16%29.53%
Both teams to score 51.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48%52.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.82%74.19%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41%23.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34%57.66%
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66%32.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15%68.85%
Score Analysis
    Turkey 44.31%
    Serbia 29.53%
    Draw 26.15%
TurkeyDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.31%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.63%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.61%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.53%

rhs 2.0


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