Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
